Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.167097 0.194146 0.224224 0.260162 0.301953 0.349043 0.406171
2025-03-23 0.125417 0.161551 0.206068 0.265008 0.341106 0.436211 0.564379
2025-03-30 0.099733 0.137908 0.188378 0.260105 0.359664 0.493353 0.687184
2025-04-06 0.083239 0.121926 0.176094 0.257652 0.377747 0.548758 0.812011
2025-04-13 0.071920 0.110722 0.167812 0.258181 0.398246 0.608119 0.948491
2025-04-20 0.065759 0.105863 0.167552 0.269696 0.435487 0.695586 1.137757
2025-04-27 0.060231 0.100990 0.166280 0.278917 0.469609 0.781605 1.335384
2025-05-04 0.055320 0.096307 0.164469 0.286615 0.501637 0.867411 1.543181
2025-05-11 0.050186 0.090475 0.159854 0.288662 0.523818 0.938648 1.734292
2025-05-18 0.045083 0.083981 0.153190 0.286025 0.536969 0.995039 1.905147
2025-05-25 0.039859 0.076573 0.143935 0.277337 0.537610 1.028276 2.036162
2025-06-01 0.037396 0.074014 0.143228 0.284521 0.568942 1.122168 2.295931
2025-06-08 0.034299 0.069925 0.139284 0.285212 0.588254 1.196363 2.528907
2025-06-15 0.032024 0.067201 0.137696 0.290461 0.617517 1.294169 2.824622
2025-06-22 0.028945 0.062429 0.131391 0.285081 0.623774 1.345127 3.026569
2025-06-29 0.026479 0.058639 0.126653 0.282389 0.635334 1.408450 3.263927
2025-07-06 0.024562 0.055807 0.123600 0.282970 0.654104 1.489560 3.552423
2025-07-13 0.023777 0.055406 0.125792 0.295607 0.701830 1.641280 4.027035
2025-07-20 0.022845 0.054551 0.126853 0.305727 0.744888 1.787401 4.508017
2025-07-27 0.021858 0.053445 0.127202 0.314175 0.784952 1.931239 5.002977
2025-08-03 0.020551 0.051407 0.125120 0.316422 0.809963 2.041476 5.427136
2025-08-10 0.019055 0.048724 0.121178 0.313527 0.821582 2.119692 5.777942
2025-08-17 0.017332 0.045264 0.114939 0.303992 0.814785 2.150022 6.003901